Friday, May 06, 2011

Uganda population to hit 94m in 2050

UGANDA will have a population of 94 million people in the next 40 years, according to the World Population Prospects by the United Nations.

According to the report, Uganda’s population stood at five million in 1950, but increased to 33 million last year. The country’s population is also expected to rise to 39 million people by 2015.

By the end of this century, there would be 170 million Ugandans.

Dr. Jotham Musinguzi, the regional director of Partners in Population and Development, said urban areas in Uganda such as Kampala are beginning to experience the effects of the population growth with the high number of unemployed.

“With the country’s population increasing by 60 million people in the next 40 years, with inadequate infrastructure for education, health, doctors and medical supplies, there is potential for unrest,” he warned.

“We are going through inadequacies. Not enough jobs are created every year and youth are on the streets with no jobs. If all the youth have jobs, it could be an engine for growth. But the challenge will be huge and the policy makers are not preparing for this,” Musinguzi added.

The UN population projections rely on a probability model, which is used to establish fertility, depending on the previous fertility trends in the countries as well as the regions.

The projections were prepared by the UN’s Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs. The report included world population projections until 2100.

In making the projections, the UN used different models of future birth rates, which results in a wide range of population sizes, going from six billion to 27 billion people in 2100.

According to the projections, the highest population growth rates will occur in poor countries like Uganda, which has a high fertility rate of 3% per year, according to the UN

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